Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 6.894474 7.972566 9.125690 10.446560 11.913332 13.487793 15.301161
2025-05-11 5.323485 6.781968 8.457591 10.507547 12.929435 15.681067 19.024176
2025-05-18 4.049623 5.667132 7.655999 10.240468 13.466258 17.314735 22.204341
2025-05-25 3.135003 4.806795 6.999734 10.012298 13.961765 18.878428 25.367555
2025-06-01 2.514024 4.205284 6.561884 9.966494 14.627552 20.646717 28.850485
2025-06-08 2.021960 3.685973 6.144293 9.868277 15.173534 22.254321 32.183303
2025-06-15 1.787092 3.505442 6.171300 10.368796 16.541571 24.996047 37.114628
2025-06-22 1.492088 3.169295 5.910792 10.404859 17.231918 26.829183 40.889606
2025-06-29 1.174516 2.727851 5.416962 10.019862 17.255105 27.703874 43.357124
2025-07-06 0.914480 2.332288 4.935637 9.588311 17.150204 28.357586 45.507145
2025-07-13 0.831837 2.266714 5.011282 10.062178 18.456300 31.111367 50.745669
2025-07-20 0.797203 2.294090 5.253832 10.829702 20.260671 34.669942 57.266952
2025-07-27 0.736091 2.256834 5.380231 11.421865 21.843027 38.001898 63.642978
2025-08-03 0.625628 2.081192 5.217900 11.487499 22.564781 40.051097 68.194649
2025-08-10 0.500978 1.836958 4.882142 11.201085 22.671145 41.141021 71.335212
2025-08-17 0.402027 1.629075 4.587702 10.956274 22.820853 42.290623 74.591100
2025-08-24 0.333686 1.484891 4.407124 10.907144 23.297185 43.966965 78.697056
2025-08-31 0.273361 1.343818 4.210056 10.801722 23.658088 45.459005 82.550840
2025-09-07 0.254803 1.334521 4.323366 11.338923 25.213531 48.973076 89.700407
2025-09-14 0.215063 1.236854 4.204928 11.377620 25.843662 50.958446 94.458801
2025-09-21 0.164310 1.074095 3.891804 10.964479 25.592279 51.435134 96.788043
2025-09-28 0.122258 0.921579 3.573754 10.501094 25.204909 51.648596 98.676283
2025-10-05 0.114527 0.920959 3.679444 11.009904 26.743410 55.253907 106.242705